Stingray: Current Events: July 2009 Archives

Current Events: July 2009 Archives

Considering that the Israeli Navy just sailed two missile class warships through the Suez Canal and into the Red Sea – and that there is at least one submarine already in the Red Sea or beyond, this article makes a lot of sense.

I’ve spent a lot time watching “Operation Petticoat” and “Hunt for Red October,” so I consider myself a pretty good military strategist, if you know what I mean. Don’t laugh – that actually gives me a lot more military experience than the numnutzes in the mainstream media have.

My bet is that there will be simultaneous missile strikes from the north along the Turkish border, from the middle across Saudi Arabia, and from submarines and ships in the south. Those operations will take out much of Iran’s counterstrike capabilities and damage some nuclear facilities. Look for Israel to concentrate on taking out Iran’s Air Force, too. Within minutes, Israeli jets will fly along the Turkish border and over Saudi Arabia to completely wipe out the nuke sites.

Is retaliation from Iran likely? Yes, but they will be severely hampered and the Israeli skies will be heavily patrolled. The odds are good that Syria and Gaza will declare war. That may well be Israel’s biggest problem.

From Global Politician

Late last year, Israel embarked on a coordinated campaign of leaks to the press regarding its determination to take out Iran’s nuclear facilities if Obama’s then-new administration fails to sway the Iranians diplomatically. Israel is unwilling to accept a nuclear Iran: “It is not an option”, say its senior intelligence and military leadership.

On January 20, 2009, I appeared as a guest in the most popular political affairs program in Macedonia (“Glasot na Narodot”, or The Voice of the People). I warned that Israel is willing to wait 6 to 8 months for Obama’s “diplomacy” with regards to Iran’s nuclear capability to show some progress. If Iran remains recalcitrant, Israel plans to bomb two facilities in Iran as it did in Iraq in 1981, I said. Refueling won’t be a problem, I assured the program’s host, Slobodan Tomic: both Egypt and Saudi-Arabia offered to help.
Israel has decided to go ahead. Taking into account political, geopolitical, military preparedness, and climatic conditions, there are two windows: between July 21 and 24 and between August 6 and 8. Advance teams comprised of Mossad agents and military personnel are already on the ground in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Iraq (including in the Kurdish lands, adjacent to Turkey).

A mock has been erected not far from Eilat (near the Red Sea, opposite Aqaba). A defunct airbase in Biq’at Ha’Yareach (Moon Vale) has been resurrected to accommodate Air Wing 10. In a country as small and intimate as Israel, it is amazing that this has been kept a secret: hundreds of recruits and reservists - from mechanics and pilots to cooks and administrators - have been re-stationed there in the last few months.

A mysterious facility also sprouted up not far from Dimona’s nuclear reactor, next to a university town called Sde Boker. It is not known what is its role, though speculation is that it is intended to shield the sensitive facility from an Iranian counter-attack. Several batteries of aged Patriot missiles have been recently replaced with brand new anti-missile rockets developed by Israel.
Citizens are reporting dry runs in the skies of the Negev, Israel’s traditional air force training grounds and a desert with some resemblance to Iranian conditions. Piecing these scant testimonies together, it seems that the Israelis are concentrating their effort on midair refueling and surgical strikes on multiple targets.

Finally, HAGA (Hagana Ezrakhit), the Civilian Defense Force, a part of the Israeli Defense Force (IDF), has been instructed to begin preparations for a possible Iranian counter-strike with long-range conventional missiles. At this stage, Israel is not contemplating chemical or biological warfare (though the distribution of gas masks does seem to be part of the drill).

What if this isn’t just a rehearsal but the beginning of getting ships in place for a real attack?

From The Telegraph

Israeli and Egyptian officials said two ships had sailed through the Suez Canal into the Red Sea.

Media reports in Israel said the two Saar-class missile ships had been sent as a “message” to the Tehran government, which has repeatedly issued threats against Israel and is developing nuclear technology believed by the West to be intended for atomic weapons programme.

While Iran denies this, saying its enrichment of uranium is for civilian purposes only, so that it can generate electricity.

Israel has also deployed a submarine using the Suez Canal, but it has since returned to the Mediterranean.

Defence experts in Israel said this week that the naval activity had been publicised with the intent of sending a message to Iran.

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About this Archive

This page is an archive of entries in the Current Events category from July 2009.

Current Events: June 2009 is the previous archive.

Current Events: August 2009 is the next archive.

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